п»їAlabama Opens as Favorite to Win Fourth National Championship in Playoff Era.
The 2020 college football season is officially in the books so it’s time to start looking ahead at what’s in store for 2021. The Alabama Crimson Tide proved to be a step above the rest, finishing the season with an undefeated 13-0 record while cruising past their College Football Playoff opponents with ease. Their National Championship run was capped off with a 52-24 win over the Ohio State Buckeyes.
Not only did Alabama dominate the standings and rankings but they also dominated the Heisman Trophy race. Wide receiver Devonta Smith became the first player at his position to win the award since 1991 but Alabama also had two other players among the Heisman finalists including quarterback Mac Jones and running back Najee Harris.
Will Alabama dominate college football once again in 2021?
Let’s take a look at the FanDuel odds to win the 2021 National Championship and Heisman Trophy.
Odds to win the 2021-2022 College Football National Championship.
Most teams in college football seem to have highs and lows as their best players grow through their program for four years and then either declare for the NFL Draft or run out of eligibility. This hasn’t been the case for Alabama over the last decade as they continuously produce stud players year in and year out.
A culture has been established at Alabama that convinces players to wait until their junior or senior year before starting for the team. This results in a never-ending rotation of five star recruits who have been growing and learning as backups finally getting their chance to shine.
This looks to be true once again as despite losing star offensive players Mac Jones, Najee Harris, Devonta Smith, and Jaylen Waddle, the Crimson Tide will once again roll out a starting lineup that will be among the best in the country.
Five star quarterback recruit Bryce Young is expected to take over as the starter behind center and Jase McClellan will take over as the starting running back. Sophomore wide receivers John Metchie III and Slade Bolden will be returning for their junior year and freshman Javon Baker is expected to help fill the roles left behind by Smith and Waddle.
Don’t be shocked if Alabama manages to win the National Championship for a second straight year.
The Usual Suspects Round out the Top Five.
Parity in college football seems to be a thing of the past as you could probably look at the top five teams on the odds list and not know if they were odds for the 2021 season or odds for the 2018 season. There have been seven National Championship games since the beginning of the College Football Playoff and only once has neither Alabama or Clemson been involved in it. Five of the seven have also been won by one of those two teams with Ohio State and LSU being the only other winners.
Returning Georgia quarterback JT Daniels will be in a prime spot to make a run at the 2021 Heisman Trophy.
What’s Going on with the Pac-12?
The Oregon Ducks participated in the National Championship game in 2014, the first year of the College Football Playoff, but no Pac-12 team has cracked the semi-finals since. The conference seems to cannibalize itself as the top teams each year find a way to lose just enough games to keep them out of the conversation. The top ranked Pac-12 team at the end of 2020 was the USC Trojans who finished at just 17th in the final AP Poll of the season.
Odds to win the 2021-2022 Heisman Trophy.
Oklahoma QB Spencer Rattler set as Heisman Favorite.
Oklahoma quarterback Spencer Rattler had a solid season behind center as a redshirt freshman and will look to take a step forward in his sophomore season. The Sooners had a bit of a down year as two early season losses to Iowa State and Kansas State left them out of the conversation for the College Football Playoff but a bounce back season is expected in 2021.
Rattler ranked 20th in completion percentage, 10th in yards per pass attempt, and 13th in QB rating in the 2020 season which isn’t bad at all for a redshirt freshman. An expected improvement in those numbers in 2021 paired with the fact that two of the last four Heisman winners have been Oklahoma quarterbacks leads to the logical conclusion that Rattler is the deserving early front runner for the award.
DJ Uiagalelei has Big Shoes to Fill at Clemson.
Uiagalelei started two games in the 2020 season when Trevor Lawrence contracted COVID-19 and he looked more than serviceable in those two games. He threw for 439 yards and two touchdowns in an overtime loss to Notre Dame and he also completed 73.2 percent of his passes in Clemson’s 34-28 win over Boston College. Uiagalelei didn’t throw an interception in his 117 pass attempts in 2020. If he can build on that success in 2021 he can do something that Trevor Lawrence wasn’t able to do: win a Heisman Trophy.
With Trevor Lawrence out of the mix at Clemson, North Carolina’s Sam Howell has a chance to grab the title of best quarterback in the ACC. The sophomore quarterback was fourth in the nation in passing yards in 2020 as well as sixth in both yards per pass attempt and touchdown passes while leading UNC to an 8-4 record. The Tarheels were also ranked 18th in the final AP Poll of the season.
Despite UNC being largely regarded as a basketball school, Howell played a huge role in putting the Tar heels on the map as a legitimate football program as he led them to two straight winning seasons including a victory in the 2019 Military Bowl. If Clemson takes a step back in 2021, don’t be surprised if UNC is right there to snag the ACC crown from their heads.
Many people think Howell has all the makings of a professional quarterback and some early 2022 NFL mock drafts have the UNC quarterback going first overall. A solid 2021 campaign, which may include a Heisman Trophy, would go a long way in helping his draft stock this time next year.
Super Bowl LV Betting Odds and Line Movement: What are Bettors Targeting in Early Wagering?
The best betting time of the entire NFL season has finally arrived as sportsbooks around the country have released their packets of Super Bowl Proposition wagers. Historically, Proposition bets make up nearly 60-percent or more of the entire handle on the Super Bowl. Think about that! The game itself only witnesses 40-percent or more of spread or total attention, with sports bettors instead allured by wagers ranging from the final time of the national anthem, to the actual color of the final Gatorade bath! There are literally over 1,000 proposition wagers being offered by DraftKings Sportsbook on Super Bowl LV.
The sharp information from Vegas Whispers , produced another profitable NFL betting campaign - finishing the regular season with a record of 68-47-1 ATS. Including the playoffs, the information from Sin City has a solid record of 71-53-1 ATS. The betting plays, supplied by Sports Illustrated’s Gambling Insider Frankie Taddeo, involve plays from the NFL, NCAA basketball and college football, NHL and MLB wagering. Be sure to be on the look-out for the Vegas Whispers Super Bowl sharp player proposition wagers later this week as we head up to kickoff on Sunday!
Join now and instantly become part of an exclusive PREMIUM SI PRO Betting Discord chat community!
Super Bowl LV Opening Odds.
Kansas City (15-2 SU, 7-10 ATS) vs Tampa Bay (14-5 SU, 11-8 ATS)
Total : 56.5 – Over: (-110) | Under: 56.5 (-110)
Game Info : February 7, 2020 6:30 pm ET / 3:30 pm PT | CBS.
According to my sources in Vegas, we are witnessing reverse steam in early wagering on Super Bowl LV. Despite nearly 73-percent of money being wagered on Kansas City - the oddsmakers have adjusted the line in the opposite direction of total money moving the Chiefs from 3.5-point favorites down to only 3-point favorites. The same action is being witnessed in the total market where nearly 77-percent of the money has arrived on the over - which soared as high as 57.5 in Vegas - only to now see a number of 56.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook. This could all easily change once we arrive at kickoff on Sunday.
Let’s dive into the proposition wagers that have seen the most early action!
Super Bowl MVP Market.
Position Total.
Quarterback 30 Running back 7 Wide receiver 7 Linebacker 4 Defensive end 2 Safety 2 Cornerback 1 Defensive tackle 1 Kick returner/punt returner 1.
Brady UNDER 0.5 rushing yards (-165)
Note: Should Tampa Bay win Super Bowl LV and go into a victory formation, kneel downs count as “negative yards” in rushing totals.
Team To Record First Sack (Tampa Bay -155)
The possibility the Chiefs could experience issues with their blitz protection, due to the loss of star tackle Eric Fisher, is not going unnoticed by bettors. Fisher will miss Super Bowl LV after tearing his Achilles tendon in the AFC championship win over the Buffalo Bills. The former No. 1 overall draft pick was a vital part of protecting Mahomes while being instrumental in the team’s ability to post prolific offensive numbers both in the air and on the ground.
Tampa Bay has a strong defensive line led by Jason-Pierre Paul and Shaquil Barrett. Bettors are backing that the Buccaneers (-155), whose defense has forced seven turnovers and recorded seven sacks in three playoff wins, will record the first sack in Super Bowl LV. In the NFC Championship game Tampa Bay sacked Aaron Rodgers five times - led by Barrett who sacked the likely 2020 League MVP three times.
Total Punts In Game (6.5) UNDER -143.
Early action from bettors has also focused on the punting game (or lack thereof) in Super Bowl LV. Bettors are banking on two teams with strong offenses establishing long drives that will result in long scoring drives as the line for total punts (6.5) which opened at odds of -110 now stands with juice of -143 to the вЂUnder.' In the AFC Championship Game, the Chiefs did not attempt a punt while in their Divisional win over Cleveland punter Tommy Townsend only attempted one punt.
On the side of the ball, Tampa Bay only recorded two punts in the NFC Championship Game, after posting four against New Orleans in the Divisional Round and three against Washington in the wildcard round. Bettors are banking on Kansas City and Tampa Bay moving the ball efficiently combined with aggressive play-calling that could lead to more fourth-down attempts further limiting the overall punts in Super Bowl LV.
Player to have Most Receiving Yards (L. Fournette -152 vs C. Edwards-Helaire)
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2021 College Football National Championship futures odds and best bets.
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It is only March, but it isn’t too early to think about futures bets for the upcoming college football season. LSU loses QB Joe Burrow and Alabama loses QB Tua Tagovailoa to the NFL draft, so who should be the favorite for 2021? Here, we go over the odds for 2021 college football national championship , with NCAA football betting picks, tips and best bets.
2021 College Football National Championship odds.
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday, March 14 at 10 a.m. ET.
As much as everyone would like to believe their favorite college football team has a chance to win it all, any of the teams with odds of 100/1 or longer should never be considered.
The favorites are the favorites for a reason.
2021 College Football National Championship best bets.
Place a legal sports bet on the 2021 College Football National Championship at BetMGM.
Likewise, you have to count on the SEC to be represented in the title game. At least one SEC team has been in the championship game every year since 2015.
Picking only two? Go with Clemson and Ohio State .
New to sports betting? A $10 bet on Clemson to win the college football national championship will earn $22.50 in profit if they do.
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Best Prop Bets for the College Football Playoff National Championship Game (2021)
One of the wildest college football seasons ever is set to conclude on Monday evening with the College Football Playoff National Championship Game. After winning their respective semifinal matchups, Ohio State and Alabama will face off for the right to be called the sport’s 2020-21 champion. The Buckeyes managed to beat the Crimson Tide as an underdog back when the two teams met in the 2015 CFP semifinals. Oddly enough, the spread for this year’s championship is eerily similar, once again favoring the team from the Heart of Dixie.
The betting odds for the title game are also suggesting plenty of offense, which makes for an intriguing list of player and game prop bets. Prop bets are synonymous with the NFL Super Bowl every year, but there is a hefty list of which to choose from for college football’s championship game as well. Read on for the vital information, betting odds, and some prop bets to consider for the Ohio State vs Alabama title game collision.
CFP National Championship Game Info.
Ohio State Buckeyes (7-0) vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (12-0)
Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL Date: Monday, Jan. 11, 2021 Start Time: 8 p.m. EST Television: ESPN Last Meeting: January 1, 2015 – Ohio State defeated Alabama 42-35 in a College Football Playoff semifinal game at the Sugar Bowl in New Orleans.
CFP National Championship Game Betting Odds.
Best CFP National Championship Game Player Props.
Running back Trey Sermon has been a major bright spot for Ohio State in each of their last two games. His 254 total yards in the Sugar Bowl win over Clemson followed up a monstrous 335-yard effort in the Big Ten Championship Game against Northwestern. Sermon has accounted for three touchdowns in the two games combined, seeing a total of 67 touches (60 carries, 7 receptions). A healthy number of touches will be vital if Sermon is to go over this yardage prop line in the title game. The Crimson Tide defense has only allowed 110.2 rushing yards per game to opponents.
Where things potentially get interesting for Sermon and the Buckeyes backfield on Monday night is with the looming return of Master Teague. For as well as Sermon has played in the last two games, he was only the second option prior to Teague suffering an injury in the Big Ten title game. What’s more, the Sugar Bowl was a revelation for Sermon as a receiver. He only had 34 receiving yards all season before that game. One has to believe that a sudden 61-yard effort is an outlier. While it’s anyone’s guess as to exactly how the backfield touches will shake out, Sermon’s total yardage line is inflated if Teague is to have any sort of impact in his return.
Sophomore Alabama wideout John Metchie came into the year as the third option at wide receiver for Alabama. His role behind Heisman Trophy winner DeVonta Smith and Jaylen Waddle changed when the latter suffered a dislocated ankle in October. Waddle is yet to get back on the field since. Although considered a game-time decision for the championship battle on Monday, it’s hard to believe he will play a full complement of snaps if he’s active at all.
Metchie has the speed and elusiveness to give Ohio State trouble defensively. The Buckeyes have been solid against the run but have allowed an ugly 280.7 passing yards per game to opponents on the season. One has to believe that the defensive game plan will be heavily focused on Smith and tailback Najee Harris. This could open the door for Metchie (835 yards, 6 touchdowns this season) to be the surprise championship game hero for the Tide.
The Sugar Bowl semifinal was easily Justin Fields’ best game in the recent past. While star junior wideout Chris Olave led Ohio State pass-catchers with six receptions, tight ends Luke Farrell and Jeremy Ruckert also combined for five catches. With Fields not shying away from slinging it to his tight ends, the volume for other Buckeyes wideouts hasn’t been there in recent weeks. One of those players is sophomore slot receiver Garrett Wilson, who only caught two passes in the win over Clemson. In fact, Wilson has not had more than four catches in any game since a November win over Indiana.
A dominant run-blocking offensive line has also affected the stats for Ohio State receivers. With Trey Sermon being so effective in each of the last two games, much of the burden has been taken off of Fields. Even though he threw for 385 yards in the semifinal, he only completed 22 of 28 pass attempts. I don’t see Wilson getting enough looks to exceed his receptions over/under total in the CFP National Championship Game.
Best CFP National Championship Game Prop.
Alabama has successfully exceeded this first quarter total line by themselves in the majority of their games this season. They may be undefeated Big Ten champs and now national finalists, but Ohio State’s defensive play has been very lackluster this season. I do not expect Mac Jones and the Crimson Tide aerial attack to have too much trouble getting off the ground on Monday night.
In its last 33 1st half drives excluding kneel-downs, Alabama has 25 TD, 2 FG, 1 TO, 4 Punts and 1 Loss on Downs. — Chris Fallica (@chrisfallica) January 5, 2021.
What the Buckeyes do have that a handful of Alabama’s SEC opponents this season did not is a viable offensive counterattack of their own. Do I think they can keep pace with the Tide on the scoreboard over a full four quarters? No. Do I think they are capable of reaching paydirt once in the first quarter? Absolutely.
Both Ohio State and Alabama ranked in the top-10 in all of FBS in first-quarter scoring this season, combining to average over 22 points in opening frames. Based on the averages alone, we are getting more than a six-point edge on the title game total. A first-quarter Over play could also set up as a nice little indirect hedge bet for my favorite game pick. Read more about that HERE!
Whether you’re new to sports betting or a betting pro, our Sports Betting Strategy and Advice page is for you. You can get started with our 101 section — including 10 Sports Betting Tips for Beginners — or head to more advanced strategy — like Key Numbers When Betting Against the Spread — to learn more.
Henry John is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Henry, check out his archive and follow him @HankTimeSports .
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